Increased levels of interleukin 8 (IL-8) are found in bronchoalveolar lavage (BAL) fluids from patients with the acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS). However, IL-8 is not an efficient predictor of the course of ARDS. Our prior studies demonstrated that IL-8 present in lung fluids from patients with ARDS is associated with anti-IL-8 autoantibodies (anti-IL-8:IL-8 complexes). These data led us to hypothesize that the complexes might better predict the development of acute lung injury. Accordingly, we measured concentrations of free and complexed IL-8 in BAL fluids from 19 patients at risk and 45 with established ARDS on Days 1, 3, 7, 14, and 21 after the onset of ARDS. The concentrations of anti-IL-8:IL-8 complexes in patients with ARDS on Day 1 were significantly higher than in patients at risk (p < 0.05). There was a significant association between anti-IL-8:IL-8 complex concentrations and the onset of ARDS (p = 0.03). Similarly, anti-IL-8:IL-8 complex concentrations were significantly higher in patients on Day 1 of ARDS who later died (p < 0.05), and the association between high anti-IL-8: IL-8 complex concentrations and the probability of dying was significant (p = 0.03). The presence of anti-IL-8:IL-8 complexes in BAL fluids of patients with ARDS is an important prognostic indicator for the development and outcome of ARDS.