Prediction of incident diabetes mellitus in middle-aged adults: the Framingham Offspring Study

PWF Wilson, JB Meigs, L Sullivan, CS Fox… - Archives of internal …, 2007 - jamanetwork.com
Background Prediction rules for type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) have been developed, but
we lack consensus for the most effective approach. Methods We estimated the 7-year risk of
T2DM in middle-aged participants who had an oral glucose tolerance test at baseline. There
were 160 cases of new T2DM, and regression models were used to predict new T2DM,
starting with characteristics known to the subject (personal model, ie, age, sex, parental
history of diabetes, and body mass index [calculated as the weight in kilograms divided by …