Low power, type II errors, and other statistical problems in recent cardiovascular research

JL Williams, CA Hathaway… - American Journal of …, 1997 - journals.physiology.org
JL Williams, CA Hathaway, KL Kloster, BH Layne
American Journal of Physiology-Heart and Circulatory Physiology, 1997journals.physiology.org
Frequently in biomedical literature, measurements are considered “not statistically different”
if a statistical test fails to achieve a P value that is< or= 0.05. This conclusion may be
misleading because the size of each group is too small or the variability is large, and a type
II error (false negative) is committed. In this study, we examined the probabilities of detecting
a real difference (power) and type II errors in unpaired t-tests in Volumes 246 and 266 of the
American Journal of Physiology: Heart and Circulatory Physiology. In addition, we examined …
Frequently in biomedical literature, measurements are considered “not statistically different” if a statistical test fails to achieve a P value that is < or = 0.05. This conclusion may be misleading because the size of each group is too small or the variability is large, and a type II error (false negative) is committed. In this study, we examined the probabilities of detecting a real difference (power) and type II errors in unpaired t-tests in Volumes 246 and 266 of the American Journal of Physiology: Heart and Circulatory Physiology. In addition, we examined all articles for other statistical errors. The median power of the t-tests was similar in these volumes (approximately 0.55 and approximately 0.92 to detect a 20% and a 50% change, respectively). In both volumes, approximately 80% of the studies with nonsignificant unpaired t-tests contained at least one t-test with a type II error probability > 0.30. Our findings suggest that low power and a high incidence of type II errors are common problems in this journal. In addition, the presentation of statistics was often vague, t-tests were misused frequently, and assumptions for inferential statistics usually were not mentioned or examined.
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